yotebuster Report post Posted December 31, 2019 10 minutes ago, biglakejake said: 10 BP and very little left in the tank for me. figuring 1) 3b early ML bull 2) 3b early archery bull(crossbow). the archery tag seems like a little better than 50% give or take from 2019 season. so unless i am a mile off on odds the app will go in-can you imagine wasting 10 BPs? i can always donate a tag if necessary. i've hunted the rut a lot as help but on my own tag? like 2002-could be fun. lee 10pts should put you in the bonus pass for 3b archery so you won’t have a crack at the muzzy tag but will be guaranteed the archery tag. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bowhunter4life Report post Posted December 31, 2019 When I log into Toprut, it shows 2017 odds. Is the following odds being given from 2018? Looking at 13 and 14 for unit 9. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Northern Pintail Report post Posted January 1, 2020 1 hour ago, biglakejake said: 10 BP and very little left in the tank for me. figuring 1) 3b early ML bull 2) 3b early archery bull(crossbow). the archery tag seems like a little better than 50% give or take from 2019 season. so unless i am a mile off on odds the app will go in-can you imagine wasting 10 BPs? i can always donate a tag if necessary. i've hunted the rut a lot as help but on my own tag? like 2002-could be fun. lee This was already commented on but to be sure you understand. You will draw the archery tag with a zero percent chance at the muzzy. Being the bonus pass stays at the same level from the previous year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
trphyhntr Report post Posted January 1, 2020 1 hour ago, biglakejake said: very little left in the tank for me. Aren’t you like early 60s? 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
knothead Report post Posted January 1, 2020 34 minutes ago, bowhunter4life said: When I log into Toprut, it shows 2017 odds. Is the following odds being given from 2018? Looking at 13 and 14 for unit 9. unit 9 archery last season odds for a resident: 14 pts = 46.2% 13 pts = 8.6% 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dustin25 Report post Posted January 1, 2020 Knot head what’re you looking at? I’m curious, because toprut is showing the 46% at 14 points, and 13% at 13 points 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bowhunter4life Report post Posted January 1, 2020 49 minutes ago, knothead said: unit 9 archery last season odds for a resident: 14 pts = 46.2% 13 pts = 8.6% That crazy so 15 max pool? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wapitibob Report post Posted January 1, 2020 Yes, for the 2019 draw. There was 1 resident 1st choice at 19 that drew, a 2nd choice at 17, and another at 16 that didn’t draw, then 1st choice started stacking up at 15 and lower. they issued 7 tags out of 9 apps in the 15 point pool, 6 were 1st choice. They issued 6 out of 13 in the 14 point pool, that’s where the 46% is coming from. Not sure why they didn’t us the 15 point pool for their odds display. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Northern Pintail Report post Posted January 1, 2020 1 hour ago, bowhunter4life said: That crazy so 15 max pool? Depends on what you consider max pool. If you consider everyone at a specific point level a guarantee then yes. If you mean the point level max gets to even though not everyone draws then 15 is not. At 14 points 46% of those people drew in the bonus pass. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
knothead Report post Posted January 1, 2020 2 hours ago, dustin25 said: Knot head what’re you looking at? I’m curious, because toprut is showing the 46% at 14 points, and 13% at 13 points Got my information from www.hunterstrailhead.com Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dustin25 Report post Posted January 1, 2020 I wonder why they’re different Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AZLance Report post Posted January 1, 2020 Your odds go way up if you hunt under power lines... 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Explorer Report post Posted January 1, 2020 On 12/30/2019 at 3:59 PM, trphyhntr said: id rather just find someone else to hunt with on their tag than use my points for a poverty elk hunt. I thought the youth hunters stole all your tags? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
knothead Report post Posted January 1, 2020 12 hours ago, knothead said: Got my information from www.hunterstrailhead.com Here is an image of the archery unit 9 draw for last 5 years. this is off of the hunterstrailhead site. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dustin25 Report post Posted January 1, 2020 It’s not that I didn’t believe you, I was just wondering why toprut and your site say different odds... it might be toprut, I have come across a couple that I know are off. Probably best to cross reference if possible Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
