hunter44 Report post Posted December 29, 2016 So I was wonding what are my chances on getting a unit 1 early archery tag with 11points? I hope this is the year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Eagle mountain ranch Report post Posted December 29, 2016 Anythings possible, as the draw is a weird creature my friend ... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tomharveyb Report post Posted December 29, 2016 According to last year's odds-you are at 10-25% odds of drawing this year. About 3-4 years more you are at 100% . Hang in there! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
lancetkenyon Report post Posted December 29, 2016 Early Archery tag with 11 BPS? I would think you should have had better odds than 10-25%. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tomharveyb Report post Posted December 29, 2016 most units you're in- not unit 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Flatlander Report post Posted December 29, 2016 Yup Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bigbuckkiller Report post Posted December 29, 2016 How about 20 points as a resident for early rifle unit 1? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cbarber13 Report post Posted December 29, 2016 I drew it this year with 12 points. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yotebuster Report post Posted December 29, 2016 According to hunters trailhead you should be in bonus pass if it stays the same as last year. Bonus pass was 10 pts with a 9.2% chance and all apps with 11 drew. This is assuming you are a resident. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yotebuster Report post Posted December 29, 2016 How about 20 points as a resident for early rifle unit 1?. No hunt in there last year so no odds. Looks like in 2015 it was 20 pts for bonus pass but only 22% chance. 100% with 21 pts. In 2013 you would have been 100% with 20 pts. Shoulda put in for muzzy in 1 last year as you woulda had a 40% chance with 19. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hunter44 Report post Posted December 29, 2016 According to hunters trailhead you should be in bonus pass if it stays the same as last year. Bonus pass was 10 pts with a 9.2% chance and all apps with 11 drew. This is assuming you are a resident. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hunter44 Report post Posted December 29, 2016 Ya I'm a resident. Ya I went out with my buddy last year and he had that tag and he put in with 13 points and he got #10 tag so he was thinking he was the top 20% so just hoping and all. Thanks everyone for all the feed back. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sherman Report post Posted December 29, 2016 I would say not bad my dad got that tag with 1 BP a few years back Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
trphyhntr Report post Posted December 29, 2016 i would put in for it if i was you. youre in the bonus Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Redman Report post Posted December 29, 2016 11 BP in unit 1 archery (early) is 100% draw odds last year, per Hunter's Trailhead- 10 Pts is 10%. Again this was last year, depends on who applies this year. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites