Elk & Antelope Draw Odds

[Flatlander]

Archery bull 6b 11m 5bs. 6 pts resident

92%, 100%, 11%

 

early archery bull 4b, late bull 4b, 4 points. 15% 71% (assuming rifle for late hunt)

 

All 2014 hunt numbers.

3105 - 8pts, nonres, single hunter I didn't pull the NR breakdown on this one, but I think you are SOL at 8 pts as a NR.

3076 - 2 pts, nonres, single hunter 100%

3071 - 2 pts, nonres, single hunter 100%

3050 - 2 pts, nonres, single hunter 100%

 

Resident antelope archery 8 points-19a 6%, 10% (two hunts) 19b 4%, 5% or 6b 34%

Resident elk archery 3 points 19a 6b or 6a bull. 21%, 18%, 17%

 

20 pts Antelope. Dont archery hunt anymore. Think smokepole.

 

Early archery bull 7e, 4b, 6a, 3pts Resident. 14%, 12%, 17%

Archery antelope, 7, 21, and the early August 17b&19b hunt, 8pts, Resident 5%, 8%, 4% (that hunt is hot and the flies are miserable, btw)

 

All are for resident, 2 points, rifle, unit 9 Elk:

1. Early rifle cow 23%

2. Late rifle bull 15%

3. Late rifle cow 54%

 

muzzle loader 3B early 13 points 7%, 27 muzzle loader early 13 points <5%

 

4a and 4b early archery bull, 3 pts 8%, 12%

 

Resident, 3080 and 3081, 2 bonus points 90% on each account

 

All: One Resident applicant and 4 B.P.

-3141 8%

-3118 5%

-3007 8%

-3026 20%

-3024 19%

-3025 12%

 

late rifle bull 27 1st, late unit 1 bull 2nd. 6bp 50%, 12%

Unit 1 Early rifle bull 18 points. Unit 1 - I am guessing 12% the hunt was not held in this unit last year, but this will be close, and 19b for antelope with 18 points 1% look to muzzleloader or archery to cut years off the wait for a tag.

[Flatlander]

Unit 27 early archery, cow and bull, 3 bp. Thanks Flatlander!

66%, 6%

 

How about early archery. 5bs and 6a, one loyalty point

3%, 8%

 

Resident with 5 points. Early archery bull unit 1 and unit 8. Late rifle bull unit 21. Thanks!! I owe you a beer.

6%, 15%, 16%

 

Antelope Res w/ 5 pts - 8 muzzy, 18A muzzy, 18A archery

 

Elk Res w/ 3 pts - 22S Bull Rifle, 22N Bull 2nd Rifle (Dec), 22S Bull muzzy, 8 Bull early archery

 

Thank you, Sir!

Antelope - 2%, 2%, 6%

 

Elk - 16%, 28%, 7%, 10%

 

Thanks for cipherin' this for me. I have My odds at almost none to real slim.

18 pts resident unit 1 early rifle bull-unit 27 muzzy

Ooh, its going o be close. On the rifle hunt I say probably about 10%, and the muzzy hunt is probably a little better, last time the ML hunt was in 27 17 bp did it, but that was two years ago. I think you are going to be close, but if you move West one unit, you have yourself a tag.

 

I'll make it easy on him.

 

3000 - 8pts, nonres, single hunter.

 

*grin*

Its all yours. Book the trip.

 

 

Myself- 2pts resident elk 3125, 3027, 3132, 3128 5%, 100%, 5%, 10%

 

Antelope 7points resident 2021, 2007, 2023, 2055 2%, 1%, 1%, 8%

 

My son-2pts resident elk 3069, 3015, 3099 24% (Are you sure you got this number right?), 30%, 14%

 

Thanks again for all your help Flatlander! You are a fine example of a sportsman willing to help his fellow man! May you draw the tags of your dreams! - I just did last year!

 

Unit 7w late rifle cow.

 

2 bp. Resident

 

Can you run it with 3 bp also so I can convince my hunt group to do hunter safety next year.

 

Thanks

Harley

41%, 84% take the class

[Flatlander]

My bad i meant 16 bp resident antelope
19a muzzy - 6% last year. They cut the tags this year so probably going to be less, as much as half. Be sure to do your homework onthis hunt before burning points on it. Several members had this tag last year, it might be worth reaching out to them.
5 b rifle - 1% (Archery/ML are good options for you)

 

 

 

[AZHog]

Thanks Flatlander for running the numbers for all of us!

[sremim]

Early archery bull, res, 6 points.

8

7W

6A

5BS

Antelope, rifle, res, 20 points.

5B

7

9

 

Thanks a ton!

[ready2hunt]

Wow I was almost excited for the answer as I am waiting for the actual draw results! Awesome flatlander thanks!

[CJ Long range]

Thanks man!

[catman]

Thanks for doing all this Flatliner

Unit 10 early Rifle bull elk Res 15pnts.,

[thegunsmith2506]

Thanks for doing this! These are the 2014 hunt numbers.

 

#3115

 

Resident with 4pts

 

Non Resident with 1pt

 

#3130

 

Resident with 4pts

 

#3173

 

Resident with 4pts

 

#3053

 

Resident with 4pts

[1denogean]

flat lander please do

archery bull 23s 23n and 3a3c early archery

13pts and a seperate applicant 5 pts same units

 

thanks again

[Adicted]

Thx flatlander. Some hope now

[lancetkenyon]

Myself: Resident, one applicant.

 

23BP Antelope

1st- 2023

2nd- 2012

 

15BP Elk

1st- 3005

 

Friend: Resident, one applicant.

 

18BP Antelope

1st- 2023

2nd- 2012

 

Daughter: Resident, one applicant.

3BP Antelope

1st- 2023

2nd- 2012

 

1BP Elk

1st- 3005

2nd- 3018

 

Wife: Resident, one applicant.

3BP Antelope

1st- 2023

2nd- 2012

 

3BP Elk

1st- 3005

2nd- 3018

 

In going back to the G&F website, it SUCKS the loyalty BP drops off when you draw a tag. My deer loyalty BP dropped off.

[fisher_hunt]

Elk - 1 Applicant, 5 bonus points

 

1st: 27, Archery Bull, Sep 11-24

2nd: 27 Late Rifle Bull, Nov 27-Dec 3

 

Antelope - 1 Applicant, 13 bonus points

 

1st: 19A, Rifle, Sep 11-17

2nd: 21, Rifle, Sep 4-13

 

THANKS!!!

[jim]

loyalty point only drops if you fail to put in or get kicked out of the draw.

[John O]

One more for me. Thanks again Flatlander!!

 

Youth Cow Elk- Two applicants, each with 4 BP's, Resident, Units 1&2C (Hunt Number 3061) and unit 6A (Hunt Number 3064)