JVS Report post Posted June 20, 2023 OK - could the rumor about charging cards in phases (BP round, then 1-2 choices then 3-5) be true? A lot of people are saying that their groups have multiple apps in for 100% draw hunts and no one has drawn. Something is definitely funky. I have 4 separate apps in areas with 100% draw odds in queue and I don't have a hit. Go ahead and shoot down that theory...but what else is there? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
spectrum Report post Posted June 20, 2023 1 minute ago, SwarovskiCoues said: nope You would think there would be at least one if they have completed the draw. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BBD21 Report post Posted June 20, 2023 What’s this bonus pass that everyone is talking about? Never heard of it Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BBD21 Report post Posted June 20, 2023 My dad has a 100% as his second choice and hasn’t got hit yet Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
codyhuntsaz Report post Posted June 20, 2023 Could it be mathematically plausible that these 100% odds hunts are no longer 100% odds, barring the “I put in for 36b October with 13 points” guy. Aside from the elk draw where they hit in bunches, every other draw has been done by day 1, usually before 10am. 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Northern Pintail Report post Posted June 20, 2023 1 hour ago, AZkiller said: F the G&F! Can’t even get a youth deer or SH cranes. Zero tags for me this year It’s not the game and fish’s fault. It’s just more people hunting and making draw odds worse. 3 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Titanium700 Report post Posted June 20, 2023 Wonder if everybody and their mothers cousin put in this year with all the moisture earlier this year? making those 100% draw odds a bit less. I know I put in for a tough to draw for hunt this year, swinging for the fences because of that. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hawkens Report post Posted June 20, 2023 AZGFD Draw dept after they stopped the draw and reading people’s posts 4 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BBD21 Report post Posted June 20, 2023 7 minutes ago, codyhuntsaz said: Could it be mathematically plausible that these 100% odds hunts are no longer 100% odds, barring the “I put in for 36b October with 13 points” guy. Aside from the elk draw where they hit in bunches, every other draw has been done by day 1, usually before 10am. Yes but some of those southern units have 750 tags for 3 seperate hunts lol I don’t see it going from 100% to 50% overnight 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AZbowhntr Report post Posted June 20, 2023 Seeing that picture made me want to punch everyone of them in the face. 4 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yotebuster Report post Posted June 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, BBD21 said: Yes but some of those southern units have 750 tags for 3 seperate hunts lol I don’t see it going from 100% to 50% overnight Only gotta go from 100% to 99% Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
trphyhntr Report post Posted June 20, 2023 10 minutes ago, codyhuntsaz said: Could it be mathematically plausible that these 100% odds hunts are no longer 100% odds, barring the “I put in for 36b October with 13 points” guy. Aside from the elk draw where they hit in bunches, every other draw has been done by day 1, usually before 10am. 7 minutes ago, Titanium700 said: Wonder if everybody and their mothers cousin put in this year with all the moisture earlier this year? making those 100% draw odds a bit less. I know I put in for a tough to draw for hunt this year, swinging for the fences because of that. Nah. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
spectrum Report post Posted June 20, 2023 By the fourth page on card hits for 2022 there was already a couple of post for sheep permits being drawn, and none so far on this thread and we are at page 11. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SwarovskiCoues Report post Posted June 20, 2023 they are clocking out in six minutes, see you guys tomorrow! 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sky Island junkie Report post Posted June 20, 2023 1 hour ago, yotebuster said: Hopefully I’m wrong! There’s a good chance you’re right. I’ve been putting in just to get drawn for the last several years just because the thought of not having a tag sucks. That strategy is catching on. I’ve got 3 friends/ customers that put in last choice muzzy deer tags that have had leftovers in years past and they don’t even own muzzle loaders. What used to be 100% draw odds are not anymore because of this anxiety Share this post Link to post Share on other sites