bonecollector777

Hmm. . Three different draw odds systems giving odds differing by 10%. I guess in reality 19 or 27% odds isn't enough difference to really tell you if you're gonna draw or not. Only thing odds are really gonna help with is the bonus pass and seeing if you're guaranteed to draw or not. Especially with the different amounts of people putting in every year which could throw off all of these numbers anyway.

I said twice earlier I'm getting my numbers off toprut. I've calculated them with my own odds and they have been within 1-2% so figured they were close enough.

are we still talking about 7w late hunt here? No non resident with more than 8 points even applied for that hunt. I looked and think you may be looking at the 7w early archery numbers?

6%

Knothead if your odds are saying guys drew 7w with 5 points in the bonus pass something is messed up with your numbers.

Both are about 27%

According to draw reports no-one with 5 points fell into the bonus pass like knothead said. Odds I'm using are matching with bonus reports saying 32% with 5 points. 84.8% of guys with 6 drew in the bonus pass last year.

50% drew with 9 points last year.

100%

E.T.

Seems like it should work huh?

More info.

They just try and convince you that you have to have one to make more money or What? Regs say pretty clearly you have to have one that's valid on deadline day but obviously if you guys have gotten away without having one they are just putting that in to convince guys they need to buy a license. So could a nr get away without buying a license and then applying and then if drawn could go buy the license? If so they could save a lot of guys a lot of money.

It doesnt matter, you just need to have a valid license while youre hunting.It matters.

If you want to get your app rejected use your 2/5/18 license your license has to be valid until deadline day (2/13) for this current draw. So you're gonna need to buy a new one for this draw either way.

13.4% last year most guys drew that had 21 so you're getting close.

More info. What hunt?

What engine do you have in that one?

When is it a "large enough bump"? Seems like there would be a set rule of how big it had to be or something. A large enough bump might be smaller or bigger for the next scorer.

16.6% 8 points is the bonus pass

11.7%

I felt like Ron Burgundy reading your post title when it was you looking for one of these and not me. .

I'm pretty sure as long as that's where a circumference measurement lands they are supposed to go over the bumps. Only one they can move is if the circumference lands on the prong. He can't just decide he wants to move the circumference measurement to wherever he wants to miss the bumps. I'm sure someone else with more experience than me will answer but I'm saying he did it wrong IF that's truly where your circumference messuremnts fall.

36.5%

app this year doesn't count as a point when it comes to the odds we look up. 5b 1.8%, 4a 3.2%, some guys drew unit 10 in the bonus pass last year with 23 but they dropped tag numbers this year. Shows 4.2% but it will be lower since there is 15 less tags this year. Within the next two years you will draw one of the three. 5b being your worse odds. 23 late rifle shows 20.4% but they also dropped tag numbers there by 25 so odds will be worse than that.