geoffsl
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geoffsl started following Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
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Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
Like I said and the whole point of my post was to say I don’t agree with the way we handle the distribution of tags…like I also said, there probably isn’t a perfect system…you charts really highlight the problem…and it really is depressing. I have never tried to hold out for only trophy hunts (for example turkey, deer and javelina) and I have only put in for archery bull…I have my reasons for putting in for the unit I do…it’s not the primo unit in the state but yes it is a good unit. I appreciate you sending the charts. That helps visually explain the dilemma. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
Obviously, you didn’t read any of my post…jumped to a lot of conclusions about who I am and what I do…I am like everyone of you… simply made one point….and every talks about how dumb I am for putting in for a hard to draw units…and that I must not be a good hunter and just a whiner…really don’t give a crap what you think. its a simple question and don’t try explaining to me how the draw system works…I promise I have read its studied it using the departments own published odds charts etc…so stop trying to prove you know more. And telling me how I should put in for different hunts… my belief with out bastardizing it; yes or no? Do people get tags before the first person in line? Just answer that question… of course, as we all well know…the answer is yes Now here is the part that makes some of you go crazy…….in my opinion which I have more than well earned the right to voice no more or less than any of you… I don’t think that is right. That’s it…there is no more to it. there may or may not be a better way to do it but bottom line that is how I feel. And I guess I am alone in that thought..it doesn’t make me a whiner it doesn’t make me a snowflake I just believe first come first serve…. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
Me too. Just haven’t gotten to be the trigger man and carry the bow guy. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
Yeah maybe there is a difference when it comes to expectation. . .But arent we required to purchase a license? and don't we spend money on the app fees. . .and those add up. and if you are the guy I saw this morning that has 33 points for big horn and still didn't draw, knowing that someone drew with less points. . .that hurts. and we are all getting there. ..My boys (now in their mid to late 20's) have been on one elk hunt of their own. . .and only two of the three have ever hunted antelope, we have 3 deer hunts over the same period of time between the 4 of us. So yes, I am bitching. . .so we can agree to disagree, I would like to see the system changed to be more equitable. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
typically, AZ, NM and WY. I have put in for CO and UT in the past, just cant afford the fees every year. I have looked at other states (MT) but don't have the confidence in a DIY area that I know nothing about. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
I guess thats why I am saying something. . .I would like to see it changed. . .we don't have to accept it just because. . .but whatever. I am sorry that I love to hunt, I am frustrated that almost every trophy or near trophy or better than average hunt is becoming a once in a lifetime hunt opportunity. Clearly, i am the only one who would like to see it done more equitable like some of our neighboring states. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
If you wont read the departments own material. . .then I can't help you understand it. . . this is straight from their publication; for elk hunt #03149 3a/3c archery bull. After reading it, you can clearly see. . .only 20% of the tags went to the bonus pool. . .and in this case 5% went to the out of state people. . .and with a bonus point in hand you had only a .006147 percent to draw that tag. In the gen pool you have right around a 2%. . .so put the two together and you have less than a 3% chance to draw. . . .I am sorry I didn't say UP to 10%--in this case it was half that. . .but my point still remains the same. . .there are people who drew this tag ahead of people who have waited longer to draw it. All I am saying, wouldn't be nice to know that the person who has been waiting the longest. . .I guess we can agree to disagree 03149 All 125 25 2225 1842 4067 11 14 22 25 25 100 Res 125 25 1319 1133 2452 9 10 18 19 19 Res% 59.28 61.51 60.29 81.82 81.82 76.00 NonRes 12 6 906 709 1615 2 4 4 6 6 NonRes% 40.72 38.49 39.71 18.18 18.18 24.00 -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
You are hilarious. So funny. I imagine you are just as o.k. with going to a restaurant, ordering your food and watch plate after plate of food getting delivered to people who ordered an hour after you. . .or so jovial and fun when you are at the grocery store with a cart full of items as one by one people from back of the line get rung up ahead of you. . .but youre right I am such butt for thinking that first come first serve should be a thing. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
I got it. . .we are saying the same thing. . .except you are saying that you are guaranteed a tag at some point because you have the most points. . .thats only true if the number of tags in the allocation exceeds the number of 1st and 2nd choices from the randomly selected numbers. . .I am saying and quoting them and take them at their word when they say. . .it does increase your chances (no matter how small). Even they admit it--that the points do increase your odds however small. But I do get what you are saying. . .yes the more points you have the better your chances. . .that is true. Sorry, not to make it clear that I understand that and so yes I can say I agree with you. My whole point is very simple. . .First come first serve. and if you want to give people a chance. . .reverse the percentages and more people who have been waiting longer will get tags ahead of those who haven't. I get it you don't like that idea. . .but every where we go. . .that is the way it is. And it is weird to me that it is not that way for us in Arizona. . .many of our neighboring states have success game management strategies with more equitable ways of issuing tags. Their fees are any more than ours. . .etc. etc. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
The tag issued was TAG #1. I don't know if you have every paid attention to that, but they print right on your tag, what number your tag is. So I got tag #1. Which again, I thought of course was funny. . .but because I had 6 points to draw it made sense that I got the first tag. So the year before, I didn't draw turkey with 5 points. . .it was the next year I drew with 6 points. Which is why I said, I was fit to be tied when I didn't draw with 5--who would have thought 5 wasn't enough to draw turkey. Yes, I put in for the same spring gobbler every year and will continue to do so. . but now that I dont have the points, I am not sure when I will get drawn again. . .to my point about the system . .I could draw again next and someone who hasn't hunted in a couple years gets skipped again. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
here it is "How do Bonus Points work in the Big Game Drawing? There are 3 phases to the Big Game Drawing – the Bonus Point Pass, the First-Second Choice Pass, and the Third-Fourth-Fifth Choice Pass. For each phase of the drawing, a random number is generated for each application plus additional random numbers for each group bonus point (which includes the Hunter Education and Loyalty bonus points) credited to the application. The lowest random number generated for an application is used in the drawing process. again, as they say...yes your points increase your odds. . .with the cavet of (NO MATTER HOW SMALL). They couldnt be more right. Regardless. . .doesn't change the fact that people get tags out of order. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
I wish I were. . .we I drew this year. . .I had tag #1. . .and I thought no shoot. . .who else had six points for turkey? But my point is it is statistically possible--and I proved it. just like sandhill crane. . .should be hard to draw but since they don't accumulate points for that everyone has the same chance. . .and with turkey. . .think about, everyone has the perm point for hunter ed, most people have the loyatly point. ..so everyone is in both the bonus pool and the gen pool. . .so if you have a 1000 people put in and only 500 tags half of you aren't hunting that year. And all you have to do is look at a roulette table and see just because it hit red last time doesn't mean its going to hit black this time. . .trust me, I was fit to be tied not drawing turkey with 5 points. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
I am sorry you don't straight from their website "What is a Bonus Point? An accumulated credit (or point) that authorizes the Department to issue a Big Game Drawing applicant additional computer-generated random numbers during a draw. The bonus point system grants an applicant one random number entry for each bonus point that has been accumulated into the drawing for that species. Each bonus point random number entry is in addition to the application random number entry itself. This system provides applicants with an added chance of receiving a low random number in the draw, hence improving their draw odds, while still providing a chance (no matter how small) for any applicant to get drawn." and now re read the last line. . .(no matter how small) and compare it with their own publication. . .about bonus pool draw odds. the sum total of odds for my to draw that tag (3a/3c archery bull) was less than 1%--that number is from their own website. . .so tell my how I am supposed to get a tag from that? it will never be guaranteed. eed tag from that? it will never be guaranteed. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
I am defintely putting in for good units with nice animals. . .all I am saying. . .yes I know I can draw more frequently if I set my sights on lower quality hunts. . .I get it. I am saying we need to do something about the fact that every year someone with a shoot ton of points gets passed up by someone with less points. A perferential system vs bonus system. -
Its Time To Change the Arizona Bonus Point System
geoffsl replied to geoffsl's topic in The Campfire
I almost exclusively hunt with a bow. . .and have only hunted elk with a bow. And you are never guaranteed to draw at anytime. . .the only way you are is if fewer people put in than there are tags. our bonus points only increase our adds. . .but for unit 3a/3c archry bull last draw. . .you had less than a 1 percent chance to draw in the bonus pool pass. .. according to the game and fish publication. and a little better than 3 percent total with the general pool entry.